WEEKLY ARTICLES

“When it comes to looking at the the totality of the labor data, it demands context. It demands study….by all accounts, the labor market is in balance, almost perfect balance. The major…

September has arrived—Wall Street’s most infamous month for volatility—and the market’s precarious balance act continues. Jerome Powell is still front and center, defending Fed independence against persistent White House pressure as headlines…

“No recession from yield curve inversion has happened the same amount of months out. NOT ONE. If that doesn’t give you a clue that this was never an indicator. I don’t know…

“Let uncertainty reflect in your position size. The sooner you get used to drawdowns. The better you will be able to suffer the drawdowns in the future. No better way to produce…

“When the markets outperforms the probabilities, pay attention!“ – Seth Golden, Chief Market Strategist at FinomGroup.com (Contributor/Premium Members Only) Mid-week Summary Wednesday, August 6th, 2025 Welcome to Market Mania!
 Where every headline…

Welcome to our Finom Group July Monthly Macro-Market Recap The Imperative of Discipline and Data in a Turbulent 2025 Market Landscape Just hours after Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve announced there…

“Are we going to get just the right amount of reflation, in just the right product/services categories where there remains the right amount of pricing power and the right amount of consumption…

“Patience and discipline—that’s what’s going to get rewarded more repeatedly than impatience, forcing trades onto the market at all-time highs. There’s nothing wrong with taking profits, raising a little bit of cash…

“No such thing as a failed Zweig Breadth Thrust signal. EVER. Only failed market participants.”– Seth Golden Mid-week Summary Wednesday, July 2nd, 2025 Welcome to Market Mania! Where the only thing more…

Welcome to our Finom Group June Monthly Macro-Market Recap The Imperative of Discipline and Data in a Turbulent 2025 Market Landscape As we approach the midpoint of 2025, the overarching sentiment among…

“As an investor, you should start worrying about deficits the day you can control them. Until then, it’s not worth your time. The market will tell you there are other people that…

“There’s a BIG difference between being informed and being fearful. Especially when it comes to investing, one should have healthy discipline, not a fear-driven mindset! One works for you, the other works…

Biggest errors I’ve (Seth Golden) made: ✅waiting too long long to realize ETFs are Godsends ✅waiting too long to downplay stock picking ✅spending 5yrs studying Technical analysis ✅not spending those yrs primarily…

““Chronocentrism” is the belief that the current period is more important or significant than others, past or future. Frequently and often tragically, that view culminates with an investor boasting that “this time…

“Never base your portfolio actions on actions of others. You don’t know when they began their investment, you don’t know their motivation for selling/taking profit etc.” – Seth Golden via X on…

Welcome to our Finom Group April Monthly Macro-Market Recap! Suppose I told you that reading this report could be the key to unlocking disciplined, data-driven investing—would you read it with the focus…

Welcome to Finom Group! The following data and analytics are extrapolations from our weekly macro-market Research Report dated November 3, 2024 and titled “Will Markets Vote For More Gains?” The content serves as…

If I’ve said it once I’ve said it a thousand times: “Market timing simply DOES NOT work!” As it pertains to the age of ETFs and index ETF investing, it doesn’t matter…

2023 and how it started: After a bear market in the prior year and January Indicator Trifecta is 3-for-3 positive, it’s UBER bullish for the year. Next 11 months and full year…

A tortured heart does not sleep altogether well, and so I spent most of my waking hours publishing the following macro-market thoughts. Why a tortured heart, which will not be detailed here…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation for all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from within our weekly Research Report.…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation for all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from within our weekly Research Report.…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation for all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from within our weekly Research Report.…

The following charts and analysis were previously offered inside Finom Group’s weekend macro-market Research Report titled “From Good Overbought to Good Oversold.” This blog will serve to build upon our former, exclusive…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation for all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from within our weekly Research Report.…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation for all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from within our weekly Research Report.…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation for all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from within our weekly Research Report.…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation for all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from within our weekly Research Report.…

“It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it…”    ~ Upton Sinclair by Barry Ritholtz June 2023 Since the financial crisis,…

In one of Jim Paulsen’s last reports before retiring, penned November 2022, Paulsen urged clients to increase equity market exposure/s. He understood the nuances surrounding the concept of “market liquidity”, which is…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation for all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from within our weekly Research Report.…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation for all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from within our weekly Research Report.…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation for all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from within our weekly Research Report.…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation for all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from within our weekly Research Report.…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation for all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from within our weekly Research Report.…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation for all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from within our weekly Research Report.…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Remember, the Nasdaq is mainly a growth index, holding no banks or financial sector stocks to-date. The Nasdaq is also very top-heavy; 48% of the index maintains Information…

Research Report Excerpt #1 The absolute best investors I’ve encountered or engaged over the last 23 years of my investing career have ALL: Weathered market storms with a willingness to accept double-digit…

Investors and traders are likely pulling their hair out at the roots, bumbling and tumbling through one of the longest and deepest bear markets in history, and without a recession to boot……

by Mike Wilson Jon Krakauer’s Into Thin Air chronicles one of the deadliest years on Mount Everest, when 12 mountaineers died trying to scale the highest peak on earth. The story reveals…

Research Report Excerpt #1 The growth projections by sector are completely flipped for 2023. Analysts anticipate the low comparisons for Consumer Discretionary/Communication Services to be a tailwind for EPS growth in 2023.…

Welcome back traders and investors. This past trading week was jam-packed with optimism, but it ended on a sour note with respect to price action. Animal spirits were seemingly trampling the market…

Research Report Excerpt #1 According to Goldman, U.S. retail investors/traders sold all of the stocks they accumulated during 2019~2021, and went further beyond to capitulate. That’s a meaningful determination by Goldman Sachs;…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Most traders/investors from all walks of capital market experience had a poor year in 2022. When markets are heavily trending downward and taking most stocks down the same…

By Dr. James M. Dahle, WCI Founder It’s a funny quirk of human nature that we learn more from bad experiences and examples than we do from good ones. Today, let’s talk about…

 Key takeaways  • Consumers have proven resilient in 2022. While they are likely to have a tougher time next year, especially if the labor market deteriorates, they are starting 2023 in decent…

By Michael Cembalest: December 1, 2022 Non-Fungible Trainwreck. First, I’m pleased to offer readers of the Eye on the Market a holiday gift that I commissioned for you: a one-of-a-kind “APE Innovation…

With over 40 years of combined investing experience, Finom Group founders have never seen the existing macro-market conditions. The post-pandemic period has given way to a rapidly evolving outlook for both the…

Research Report Excerpt #1 House Keeping Notes In December, our chief market strategist Seth Golden will be taking his usual vacation and out for the month. His dedication will provide Finom Group…

Within this past week’s State of the Market video, our focus suggested that the market has stepped through the open window and into a relatively protracted period of opportunity for investors. It…

Research Report Excerpt #1 THE FED IS DRIVING THE MARKET, and it demands the market to stay put until further notice. With the aforementioned sentiment, which is hard to argue against, as…

Research Report Excerpt #1 The chart of the S&P 500 above is the exact price action from a double-bottom, bottoming process in 1962, whereby the index took off through the end of…

There are good reasons that new traders are washed out of the markets within their first 2 years of trading. The first is likely due to a lacking of discipline and dedication…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Year-to-date through Q3 had been the worst start for a 60/40 portfolio since 1974, which was also an inflation and Fed hiking regime. However, as detailed in the…

Research Report Excerpt #1 The average duration of a bear market is 446 days (calendar days). The average duration of a bull market is 2,069 days. The average bear market return is -38.4% while the average bull market return…

The investing landscape couldn’t be any better for investors than it has proven to be in 2022. Now, before you stop reading for fear of lunacy of the author, let me explain.…

Research Report Excerpt #1 “Assuming, assuming one could be that best market timer in the world, the difference between that amount of work and simply buying the index ETF and holding it…

Research Report Excerpt #1 COMPOUNDING is a difficult concept for traders! We dont understand geometric growth as easily as linear growth, because its not intuitive. The chart above helps to depict why, when stocks…

Research Report Excerpt #1 After a 3rd straight weekly decline in the major averages, the AAII investor sentiment fell back to one of the lowest Bullish readings in history, only trumped by…

Research Report Excerpt #1 At the end of the second quarter, the S&P 500’s price was 3,785. There’s still another month left to go in the quarter that currently followed that 15%+…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Our first chart comes to us from Chris Ci0vacco. As we had discussed in the past, there will be many, many market participants and pundits that will lay…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Recall the table above that we had been tracking and suggesting may prove favorable for the back half of 2022? Since 1932, any time the S&P 500 was…

While investors, traders and all market participants await the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI), due out this Wednesday, here are some interesting thoughts and analysis from around the web. The above tweet…

Is the market solidifying a bottom with a new uptrend having commenced since late June? Today’s conversation offers several indicators and historic technical guide posts that suggest investors should be looking to…

Research Report Excerpt #1 That’s right. This past trading week was strong, but it wasn’t “uber” strong, as the kids say! In late May, the S&P 500 had a weekly gain of…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Over my career, I have experienced 7 market shocks, including the bursting of the technology bubble, the global financial crisis, and now COVID-19. I mention these events only…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Early July started well once again, but now the market has hit the typical consolidation portion of July, where price action proves less favorable or mixed. In the…

Research Report Excerpt #1 From May 20th to May 27th, the market rallied greater than 6%. One step forward, but unfortunately that resulted in 2 steps backward and new lows for the…

Research Report Excerpt #1 The Bank of America Bull & Bear Indicator is currently at 0. This is probably the slowest of all indicators among investment banks. The track record when this…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Recall that prior to May’s, 6%+ month-end rally, the S&P 500 was down 7 consecutive weeks.  This was the longest weekly down streak since 2001, which fell 8 straight…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Like any rally, we want to understand the beginnings of the rally. Did the downtrend find some key level of support or was the rally headline-driven, something in…

Research Report Excerpt #1 We often hear that if you bought the peak in 2000 or peak in 2007 you would have had to have waited X number of years until the…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Keeping in mind that Sell-in-May-and-Go-Away doesn’t pertain solely to the month of May, but rather to the 6 month period starting in May and ending in October. This…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Q2-Q3 are the weakest 2 quarters of the 4-year cycle (shown above), averaging losses of -1.2% for DJIA and -1.5% for the S&P 500 since 1949, and -5.0%…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Taking a step back for a moment, recognizing the landscape for 2022 doesn’t inspire a great deal of positive market sentiment, we are better able to see the forest…

Research Report Excerpt #1 This is not a sell-everything and run for cover moment. It’s mechanical, and if history is any guide, a longer-term opportunity for the bulls that I offered this…

Single-family house prices have been rising at record rates, raising the question of whether they have become disconnected with fundamentals. In October 2021, U.S. home price appreciation reached an annualized pace of…

Research Report Excerpt #1 “How does Jim Cramer of CNBC do so well then?” The short answer to the question above is: He doesn’t! As the tracked data analyzes, for every $1…

Research Report Excerpt #1 A perfect depiction of setup years is recognizable in the table below, which we’ve offered in past reporting: At its “closing” lows on March 14th, the S&P 500 (SPX)…

Research Report Excerpt #1 It may prove counterintuitive to many market participants, but the higher the VIX moves, the better the long-term returns. Having said that, we may have to withstand more…

In the short-run, it’s difficult to see an easy way out of the current geopolitical nightmare. The hopelessness of the day is often a precursor to the promise and eventual brighter, and…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Lastly, we hear a lot of chatter surrounding China and the potential for the CCP to model what Russia is attempting to do with its war on Ukraine.…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Heading into 2022, we understood that the historic potential S&P 500 returns surrounding midterm cycles and Year 2 of Presidential cycles usually deliver higher volatility and lesser returns.…

Research Report Excerpt #1 As detailed since late last year, this is the S&P 500’s fourth longest run without a 10% pullback (~22 months vs. ~1 per year). Since 1980, the S&P…

Research Report Excerpt #1 The data remains our guidepost (S&P 500 forward returns after falling below 200-DMA above table), which was a message also highlighted in Fed chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference…

Research Report Excerpt #1 In order for drawdowns to not become realized losses, sometimes we also have to elongate our time frame. You’ll find that to be the case when markets come…

Fed Funds Rate History The charts below show the targeted fed funds rate changes since 1971. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) didn’t announce its target interest rate after meetings until October 1979. The…

Research Report Excerpt #1 It’s important to respect seasonal patterns/data, but the seasonal data is often best utilized when pared with other quantitative studies/data. When it comes to the January Barometer, this…

For those who have never experienced a bear market before, welcome to the worst of times! Know that for every bear market there is only the probability of a positive outcome, the…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Nonetheless, some variables provide greater force and as such are characterized as force factors. I’m of the opinion, the force factor of the day is monetary policy, the Fed (FOMC). The tweet stream above…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Given that in the lead up to “Volmageddon” in 2018 we got up to 9 days of VIX/SPX rising together, most investors who remember this automatically assign a like-outcome, even…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Since 1928, a great many things have changed in our lives, in the economy, and around the world. There have been many economic shocks, World Wars, epidemics, advances…

The market was hunting for a reason to alleviate the overheated and overextended conditions. Recall just how overheated the market was coming into the week, as depicted by the distance the S&P…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Putting some more context to this past Friday’s price action, with a minor loss in the S&P 500, this was the more probable and even predicted price action…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Over the last twenty-one years, the full month of October has been a solid month for the market. DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ, Russell 1000 and Russell 2000 have…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Before we get to that though, recall what Finom Group offered in its most recent weekly State o the Market, and regarding Call and Put Open Interest strikes. First…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Are you trying to make quick returns and trading yourself out of the market, quickly… Or are you refining your long-term process for steady repeatable annual profits? Are you…

Research Report Excerpt #1 What will definitively prove consequential is how an investor reacts or doesn’t react to the seasonal weakness. Does one hunker down, reduce exposure, hedge, pray & hope… or…

Research Report Excerpt #1 There is plenty on the “agenda” (i.e. taxes/infrastructure, debt ceiling, geopolitical concerns, tapering, among others), so we shouldn’t be shocked to see one or more of these issues…

Research Report Excerpt #1 In the above chart, daily data since July 1, 1979 through August 20, 2021 for the Russell 2000 index of smaller companies are divided by the Russell 1000…

Welcome back investors! One week every quarter, Finom Group offers its weekly Research Report freely to the public. This is that week, and hopefully newcomers will discover a wealth of analysis, insights…

Research Report Excerpt #1 In a down week for all major indices, it’s clear that what worked was defensive in nature and what didn’t work for investors was cyclical in nature. This…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Seriously, investing/trading is hard. Nothing worth doing well is easy, and if it’s something we really enjoy or desire to master/perfect we tend to make it more difficult,…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Amazon shares took the biggest hit post-earnings release date. The company missed analysts estimates on the top line, while beating handily on the EPS/bottom line estimate. As I…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Year-end gets nearer with each passing week. Month-end is always a good time to review one’s goals for the year and possibly look at where you proved successful…

Research Report Excerpt #1 The primary trend for the S&P 500 is higher, either due to structure or earnings and presently both are favoring a continuation of the primary, long-term trend. Staying…

Research Report Excerpt #1 The key to a healthy cyclical bull market is consistent market rotations. If everything goes up together, breadth thrusts are inevitable, but so is the likelihood of everything…

Research Report Excerpt #1 This Bloomberg chart was making the rounds this past week. Less than 45% of S&P 500 stocks trading above 50-DMA. The situation comes with the S&P 500 at all time…

Research Report Excerpt #1 With this front of mind, I would suggest that investors not dwell on this past week’s retreat in the markets, even if Friday’s market action culminated with the…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Over my many years of investing and providing a financial market service to investors, I’ve found the perception principle reins supreme amongst investors/traders. It’s often very, very detrimental…

Research Report Excerpt #1 A huge challenge to achieving long-term gains in the market, if not the #1 reason, is the ability to overcome “fears”. The fear emotion is the greatest variable…

Research Report Excerpt #1 All of this standing in place has brought about a significant divergence in the 2010 analogue above. Despite a second down wave during the first 3 days of…

While Finom Group does not offer a full-scale Research Report this particular weekend, we do have some thoughts to outline and through the following charts. The question investors have on their minds,…

The narrative surrounding inflation, or “reflation” as I recognize it to be, is pretty compelling. The financial media does a stand-up job of driving a fearful story that introduces many negative consequences…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Are we on the cusp of another double-digit Nasdaq correction? Anything is possible, and since reaching it’s new all-time high on 4/29/2021 of 14,211, the growth and tech-heavy…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Speaking of Friday’s pullback, Finom Group has identified what may have caused or catalyzed Friday’s downturn, the biggest Permanent Open Market Operation (POMO) of the Fed’s bi-weekly calendar…

Research Report Excerpt #1 Which sector will lead the longer-term trend? Sector and style rotation has remained a dominant theme in 2021, but investors shouldn’t get too bogged down by this debate,…

A boom or bust for the economy and markets? Risky assets will continue to benefit Our top 10 takeaways follow: 1. US growth is entering a boom period with positive spillovers. J.P.…

Research Report Excerpt #1 At the industry level, since the end of March, here is what the healthy rotation has looked like: If there has been a lesson the market has aimed…

Research Report Excerpt #1 The typical April return has been good, but not great. Over the past 10 years, April has been only the eighth-strongest month of the year, with a 0.9%…

Research Report Insight #1 Good stuff Edward and I urge our readers to review what Edward offered about TIME/DURATION and pair it with the following data: We’ve been chatting up the Facebook…

It’s never easy, is it? As an active portfolio manager, trader or investor, it seems as though once we move beyond one obstacle, one fearful market narrative there is another one right…

Over the last couple of weeks, we have made adjustments to guidance and targets in a number of different asset classes including equities and fixed income. We meaningfully increased our expectations for…

Research Report Insight #1 We’ve identified individual stocks in previous Research Reports that we deemed reasonable opportunities, and we understand that many Finom Group members have benefited from such disseminations. Below are…

Research Report Insight #1 Prior to this past week, the S&P 500 had consolidated 4.5% from its peak in January. In February, the S&P 500 began another 4%+ correction and it may…

Where are markets headed as bond yields rise? J.P. Morgan’s Global Research macro views and top cross-asset trade ideas On March 1, J.P. Morgan Research hosted a virtual meeting featuring J.P. Morgan…

Research Report Insight #1 The benchmark index fell ~1% for the month, breaking from the typical seasonal pattern. February is usually a down month for the market and yet, the benchmark index…

Welcome to Finom Group’s weekend data Mash-up at February’s month-end. With one week left in the trading month, the S&P 500 has grappled back all it had lost in January and then…

By Marty Makary of the Wall Street Journal Amid the dire Covid warnings, one crucial fact has been largely ignored: Cases are down 77% over the past six weeks. If a medication slashed…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

by Matthew Famiglietti and Carlos Garriga Since the mid-1990s, the Federal Reserve System has either implicitly or explicitly had an annual inflation target (IT) of around 2 percent. The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee’s (FOMC’s)…

Once every quarter, Finom Group releases its weekly Research Report to the public. To receive our Research Reports and State of the Market weekly video going forward, subscribe today. Now, let’s go…

On Monday, SocGen’s equity derivatives team cautioned that in addition to possible “further de-grossing in hedge fund balance sheets,” last week’s events could also “manifest in another pullback from vol sellers.” The…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

“There are two types of investors”, according to Bank of America CIO Michael Hartnett: those who want to get rich, and those that want to stay rich. That’s how Hartnett begins his…

A widespread view, especially among sell-side banks, is that the currently high equity volatility as depicted by the VIX is likely to return to more ‘normal’ lower levels (Figure 1). Figure 2…

To study the history of market behaviors and/or performance puts the average investor at an advantage, when compared to the “lone wolf” approach to investing. The markets are more dedicated to disseminating…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

There is no shortage of uncertainty as the new year begins, so in an attempt to provide some clarity, we briefly answer some of the key macro questions of 2021. What does…

If asked about possible silver linings to this pandemic, I would list first the chance to spend more time with family. Our son Andrew and his wife and son moved in with…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

Byron R. Wien, Vice Chairman together with Joe Zidle, Chief Investment Strategist in the Private Wealth Solutions group at Blackstone, today issued their list of the Ten Surprises of 2021. This is…

The Hazmat Recovery. In response to the worst pandemic in 50 years and a country at war with itself over lockdowns, individual freedoms and election results, the Fed and Congress airdropped an…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

Goldman’s chief economist Jan Hatzius takes a look at what 2020 has taught him about the economy and the practice of economic forecasting, and writes that “at this early stage, we see…

By St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank and David Andolfatto In the second quarter of 2008, U.S. federal debt held by the public totaled about $5.3 trillion, or 35% of gross domestic product…

Once vaccinations start, how quickly can they lower daily new COVID-19 cases: Although the market understands that vaccination will lower daily new cases, the trajectory of the decline remains one of the…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

Please click our link to the latest Finom Group YouTube video and subscribe to our channel for future video updates! “There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades…

Thanksgiving: Eye on the Market The Armageddonists were not rescued from underperformance purgatory by COVID, and markets are at all time highs again with prospects for further gains in 2021. However, I…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

And wouldn’t you know it; the S&P 500 hit an all-time high Monday (3,646) and the strategists followed with upgrades to their macro-outlook and S&P 500 price targets. Isn’t that just always…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

As we head into Election Day 2020, the market is seemingly stuck with determining the path it will be taking on the way to its ultimate destination. The destination is higher prices…

Markets can prove difficult to understand, making it that much more difficult to create a strategy for extrapolating profits over time. With the election front of mind for a great many market…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

By: Olivier Armantier, Leo Goldman, Gizem Koşar, Jessica Lu, Rachel Pomerantz, and Wilbert van der Klaauw  In this post, we examine how households used economic impact payments, a large component of the CARES Act…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

A strong market rally the last few trading days of September and through the first week of October has been the result of investors possibly looking through the typically volatile October month…

Forward-thinking investors are likely to perform better than those who are adversely affected by the headlines of the day. While many will be whipsawed out of positions, lose confidence in the trajectory…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

Tonight (Tuesday Sept. 29) is the first Presidential Debate on Fox News. Ahead of the first official debate, the equity markets are rebounding off of their recent correction-period lows and with the…

After 2 trading days having concluded for the week, and despite the seemingly unchanged level in the S&P 500 (SPX), there has been a goodly amount of price action that has taken…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

After consecutive weeks of -2%+ drawdowns for the S&P 500 (SPX), and the Nasdaq (COMPQ) dropping below its 50-DMA, all major averages are attempting a bounce back this week. Thus far, the…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

Remember when simply getting back to 3,000 on the S&P 500 (SPX) would have been a victory for the bulls. Well, that was about 500 points ago, and below where the benchmark…

The email, formal and foreboding, landed at 9:38 a.m. on Monday, March 2.  “Can you please call me when you have a second to talk?” the Bridgewater Associates employee asked.  The call,…

Over the last 10 trading days, it’s been all the rage to clammer over the weakening market breadth as the markets travel higher. The S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq (COMPQ) have continued…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. In this week’s episode, we discuss the S&P 500 achieving all-time highs once again and how it…

Remember the bear market? It wasn’t so very long ago and maybe the question is fitting given its short life cycle? Markets have moved at an accelerated pace to the upside since…

The following works come directly from the St. Louis Federal Reserve website of Research Reports and authored by Board of Governors and the St. Louis Federal Reserve members. For the original works…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

After another green day on Monday, with S&P 500 (SPX) finishing the day that much closer to a record closing high and the Russell 2000 (RUT – small caps) leading markets higher,…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

Another day on Wall Street meant another day of equity market gains, while Bonds also continue to rally and with yields moving ever-lower. It seems a paradox and concerning to many, but…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following Weekly Must Know macro and technical analysis. Our weekly…

It has already proven a rather choppy start to the trading week, with the S&P 500 (SPX) rallying on Monday and the Nasdaq (NDX) bouncing sharply. On Tuesday, however, all major averages…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

After a 20+ point gain and new bear-to-bull market high for the S&P 500 on Monday, the benchmark index tacked on another 5 points Tuesday. During the 2-day rally it didn’t prove…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

On Monday, and with the mega-tech FAANMG stocks coming under significant pressure, the equity markets performed a major reversal intraday. The S&P 500 achieved a new, post-bear market and new bull market…

For a long time, I used to read Reminiscences of a Stock Operator almost every year. I don’t do that anymore, not because I find its lessons dated, but because I had it almost…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

While the rise in new, positive Covid-19 cases continue, the S&P 500 (SPX) has hinted at the potential of re-testing the bear-to-new bull market highs. Both of these benchmarks are on the…

I haven’t written an article like this one in the past, so bear with me here folks. This is the type of article that many would characterize as a “public service announcement”…

Authored by Chetan Ahya, Chief Economist and Global Head of Economics at Morgan Stanley Will the V Disrupt the V? We received a stark reminder this week that the fight against COVID-19…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. In this week’s episode, we discuss how we got to this point in the S&P 500’s…

Stocks closed higher for a 2nd day in a row, as better than expected manufacturing and services sector data out of Europe helped to support the market.  U.S. Markit manufacturing and services…

Markets were lifted higher on Monday despite some of the fears surrounding the rise in new COVID-19 cases over the course of the previous week. The S&P 500 (SPX) rose 20 points…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly Report is…

The background is well known to all. On February 19, the U.S. stock market hit a new all-time high, with the S&P 500 reaching 3,386. Then investors began to price in the…

Article originally published on Financial Times. It was hailed as a breakthrough vaccine for dengue fever, a neglected tropical disease that kills about 20,000 people each year. Dengvaxia, made by Sanofi Pasteur,…

That was quite the trading on Monday, now wasn’t it. The daily trading activity started in much the anticipated manner as one might expect, given some of the bearishness in market momentum…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic Membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly report is…

After another strong rally on Wall Street Monday, equity markets are in retreat early Tuesday morning and expressing the early signs of consolidating gains. This is something we’ve heralded for a couple…

As daily protests/marches/demonstrations continue, the equity markets also continue to trend higher. On Tuesday, the S&P 500 (SPX) added to it’s record setting bounce off of the March 23r lows by tacking…

Over the last couple of weeks, we’ve been able to compile and discern all the characteristics of a bear market that was on a path to reinstalling a bull market. The key…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation of all of our Basic membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly report is…

Almost to the penny, and then the intraday reversal sparked by yet another late-day headline of seemingly consequence. Something not quite right with that sentence structure, but you get what I’m trying…

Welcome to another trading week!! In appreciation to all of our Basic membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly report…

Going into Tuesday’s trading session, the S&P 500 had some momentum to continue its run at the 2,998 level, representing the benchmark indexes 200-DMA. Achieving this level with some 85% of stocks…

Global equity markets soared on Monday as headlines surrounding Moderna’s phase-1 trial results for a COVID-19 vaccine proved promising. J.P. Morgan’s Biotech analysts offered there reaction and analysis to clients in a…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation to all of our Basic membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our weekly…

I wrote a memo a week for six weeks starting on March 3, but I’ve skipped the last three weeks.  First, the string had to end sometime.  And second, I try to…

For the second trading day in a row, the S&P 500 (SPX) managed to climb above the 61.8 Fibonacci level around 2,935 only to be pushed back down (Chart below). The struggle…

Since the S&P 500 (SPX) “initial low” on March 23rd, there’s been lack of speculating on either the market’s or the economy’s trajectory going forward. As it seems commonplace, the market is…

This past weekend was a non-Research Report weekend for Finom Group. Nonetheless we sent the following notes to our Premium, Contributor and Master Mind Options members so as to set the stage…

Kristin Hooper of Investco One month ago in this blog, I noted that April would be a critical month to gauge the global response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Across the board, it was a…

Another day another roller coaster ride for investors, as much of the daily gains were removed in the final hour of the trading session. So what happened in that final hour of…

You know, with all the pandemic crisis confronting investors over the last 45 days or so, it gets lost in the mix that this is indeed an election year. And on that…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation to all of our Basic membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. In this week’s episode we take a look at a market that has exacted…

Written by Neil Shearing, Group Chief Economist 28 April 2020 Last week I outlined how and when virus-induced shutdowns are likely to be eased. This week I discuss how the world may…

The S&P 500 (SPX) managed another significant achievement post the fastest bear market plunge in history on Tuesday with a climb back to and above 2,920. But, with that milestone achievement and…

Monday markets proved to pick up right where Friday left off with a continued surge in stock prices. The rally didn’t show itself in the safe way that the majority of the…

Welcome to another trading week. In appreciation to all of our Basic membership level participants and daily readers of finomgroup.com content, we offer the following excerpts from our Weekly Research Report. Our…

April 20, 2020 Bill Miller 1Q 2020 Market Letter There have been 4 great stock market buying opportunities in my lifetime. The coronavirus has given us the 5th. The first was in…

Another rough session on Wall Street Tuesday, which is otherwise known as “turn around Tuesday”. Unfortunately, there was no “turn around”, as crude oil continued its route to the downside on Tuesday,…

I was told the market could only go higher! Obviously this would never be the case and after one of the strongest rallies in history, the S&P 500 (SPX) should be expected…

As we enter a new trading week, investors awaken to an absolute demolishment of the crude oil market, with the price per barrel down some 23% in the 6:00 a.m. EST hour.…

There are no proven treatments or vaccines for the novel coronavirus which has sickened more than two million people world-wide and killed nearly 150,000 people, but remdesivir is considered a front-runner in…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. The password for the SOTM is: B9+09uk! (Must use password) We have achieved the…

It’s often the case that price action can translate and transform into investor sentiment. When the market is going up, things must be getting better and when the market is going down,…

WRITTEN BY VICKY REDWOOD of Capital Economics There is no doubting that governments have generally pulled out all the stops in announcing big fiscal stimulus programmes. But announcing them is one thing;…

As investors awaken to another week of trading, they do so with a pretty strong relief rally capping off the previous week. And it wasn’t just a strong week, it was the…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. We are achieving the turning point in the COVID-19 saga as the peak of…

The rally and close above 2,700 that never was, at least that is probably the best way to describe the S&P 500’s (SPX) action on Tuesday. The benchmark index was up more…

There are many things that we know about markets. Probably the most basic and understood truism of the markets is that they have a propensity to price in future expectations, they are…

BY THE REAL HEISENBERG APRIL 5, 2020 Over the course of the last three months, the world was reminded that when it comes to outbreaks (and especially epidemics and pandemics), it’s nearly impossible…

Goldman Sachs: The article below is from our BRIEFINGS newsletter of 31 March 2020 More than two months after imposing quarantines to battle the COVID-19 epidemic, China is on the economic road…

Howard Stanley Marks (born April 23, 1946) is an American investor and writer. He is the co-founder and co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, the largest investor in distressed securities worldwide. In 2019, with a net worth…

It was a rather volatile day for traders Tuesday, which “turned” out to live up to its “trade name”, Turn Around Tuesday. From Monday’s exuberance to Tuesday’s doldrums, implied volatility rolled lower…

If you are bullish on markets near-term, Monday’s market action likely increased your bullishness. The major indices all rose more than 3%, led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq (NDX), which is something we…

Today’s Daily Market Dispatch is a condensed version of our weekly Research Report (Published Sundays). If you appreciate the analysis, articulations and detailed content, upgrade to our Contributor Membership level and access…

Services get pummelled in March; worse is to come Global Economics Update 24 March 2020  WRITTEN BY SIMON MACADAM The March Flash PMIs for advanced economies were dreadful. The composite PMI for…

A “buy everything rally” ensued on Tuesday, which is known as “turn around Tuesday and which has held true of late. The past 3 Tuesdays the S&P 500 (SPX) has closed up…

If you just looked at the closing prices for the major averages on Monday, you might have overlooked the significance in the headlines that surfaced before the market opened that day. The…

The present day economic and equity market situation is one concerning “when, not if“. It’s the when that we tend to pontificate and concern ourselves with the greatest. What do I mean;…

Another week has passed since the bear market began only a couple of weeks ago and the market seemingly fails to achieve a bottom, but rather easily finds new lows.  As of…

By Jennifer Calfas, Margherita Stancati and Chuin-Wei Yap Updated March 19, 2020 11:54 pm ET California ordered its 40 million residents to stay at home except for essential activities beginning Thursday night in the…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. COVID-19 continues to plague markets and has taken the economy as a prisoner until…

Wall Street Journal: By Micah Maidenberg, Chip Cutter and Rachel Feintzeig Employers are cutting shifts, suspending work and starting to lay off workers as the new coronavirus devastates business across the country. Companies from restaurant…

Equity markets rebounded Tuesday and what has been the trending, up 1 day and down the next day routine. The S&P 500 (SPX) expressed another turn around Tuesday by rising roughly 6%…

Over the weekend the Federal Reserve, saying “the coronavirus outbreak has harmed communities and disrupted economic activity in many countries, including the United States,” cut interest rates to essentially zero and launched…

Things are getting ugly and policymakers are swinging into action. We now find ourselves in the extraordinary position that interest rates in the US, euro-zone, Japan and the UK have now returned…

This article appeared first in the Wall Street Journal by Nick Timiraos Updated March 15, 2020 5:03 pm ET The Federal Reserve slashed its benchmark interest rate to near zero on Sunday…

A quick Finom Group housekeeping note: Due to travel engagements this coming weekend, we will be foregoing our weekly Research Report this weekend and be back on schedule in the following week.…

It was the worst day for the market since 2008 and a day that wiped out the gains from the last 12 months. Keep that in mind… the last 12 months. When…

“A collapse in stock markets, co-ordinated policy statements and emergency interest rate cuts: the events of the past week have inevitably led to comparisons to October 2008. But the differences are as…

By Alexander Osipovich March 5, 2020 6:00 am ET Trading conditions have sharply deteriorated in a popular vehicle for betting on swings in the S&P 500, exacerbating the volatility in the stock…

After investor optimism that supported the largest 1-Day rise in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) on Monday and with all major averages rallying sharply, “turn around Tuesday” took on a new…

It’s never advisable to short the market when it’s known that central banks are likely to respond to perceived exogenous economic shocks. Friday’s S&P 500 lows are a perfect example of such…

This article first appeared in the Wall Street Journal Updated Feb. 28, 2020 5:11 pm ET The coronavirus has sent markets tumbling, as its ramifications to a swath of businesses and industries becomes…

Falls in equity prices and bond yields so far this week reflect fears that coronavirus cases outside China will mark the start of a wider outbreak that deals a blow to the…

Twas another rough day on Wall Street as U.S. indices fell by another 3%+ and as coronavirus fears spread. In the early morning hours, futures were pointed to a higher open for…

Monday was one of those days that test the resolve of many traders/investors. The major averages fell by roughly 3.5% or worse, with the S&P 500 (SPX) tumbling some 3.35% on the…

This article first appeared at The Wall Street Journal ByChuin-Wei Yap and Jon EmontUpdated Feb. 23, 2020 12:22 pm ET HONG KONG—The last time a coronavirus outbreak hit China in 2003, the global economy…

This article originally appeared in the Wall Street Journal: By Betsy McKay: Updated Feb. 22, 2020 10:06 am ET Concern is high about a dangerous new coronavirus behind an epidemic in China…

Two days after Apple (AAPL) warned on Q2 2020 revenues, the markets seem to have dismissed even this sizable warning and replaced fears of an earnings recession with record highs. The Nasdaq…

It wasn’t quite the landslide for equities on Tuesday one might have assumed after Monday’s pivotal announcement from a key handset provider warned on revenues. And that handset provider was of course……

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. Two weeks ago we believed a corrective period would commence due to overbought conditions…

In our daily market dispatch article on Tuesday, Finom Group recognized weakness underneath the hood of the major averages, notably the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq (NDX). While the major averages once…

In all my 22 years of investing and following markets both domestically and abroad, I’ve not come across this many perplexed market participants, and why. Markets have been sending a number of…

After Monday’s bounce back in the major averages, Tuesday served to turn up the heat on the bears as investors sought to recoup that which had been lost and then some. At…

In the Iowa Primary Monday night, we have a wi… well we don’t have a winner just yet, and the equity markets seem to rather enjoy the ambiguity surrounding the “situation”. We…

Every couple of months, when we believe we can add value for our Basic Membership readers, we offer a redacted version of our weekly Research Report. There is presently a good deal…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. The potential beginnings of a market pullback that began last week continued into and…

On Wednesday, and heading into the FOMC rate announcement, the S&P 500 (SPX) was near its high of the session. Once the press conference commenced, however, the mood on Wall Street shifted…

Apple Supply Chain Braces for Disruption From Coronavirus By Mark Gurman and Debby WuJanuary 28, 2020, 12:01 AM EST Apple Inc.’s China-centric manufacturing base is at risk of disruption after the Lunar New Year holiday…

Pretty much what we expected from the market on Monday, pretty much what we expected. In our weekly Research Report, Finom Group alerted subscribers to the likelihood of markets continuing their retreat…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. The potential beginnings of a market pullback are afoot with the S&P 500 falling…

In a holiday shortened trading week, investors began trading with markets under pressure Tuesday, ahead of quarterly reports from the likes of Netflix (NFLX) and IBM (IBM). When it was all said…

It was another strong week for the major averages. The S&P 500 (SPX) closed the second week of 2020 with another record high, closing at 3329.62. The index is up 3.06% already…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. In 2020, markets continue there seemingly endless melt-up. We all know that when valuations…

Was the phase-1 U.S./China deal a good deal or a bad deal? Mr. Market hasn’t cared about a deal through all of 2019, which gets overlooked by a great many investors/traders. The…

If you thought markets were still frothy heading into the first trading day of the week, that sentiment only grew on Monday as the S&P 500 found itself with yet another record-level…

As we journey forward, into another trading week ahead, we encourage investors to digest one simple truth when it comes to markets and investing: “Intelligent investors understand the importance of planning for…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. In 2020, markets continue there seemingly endless melt-up. We all know that when valuations…

The first 5 trading days of the year are now in the book. CNBC wrote an article about it, to set the stage for what investors might expect given the first 5…

While it wasn’t “bombs over Baghdad“, there was certainly an Iranian retaliation against the U.S. and its installments in Iraq Tuesday evening. Iran launched more than a dozen ballistic missiles against multiple…

After beginning the trading session on the lows Monday and for the first full trading week of the New Year, the major averages rallied throughout the day and to finish at the…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. In 2020, we are already confronted with a new geopolitical event as the U.S./Iran…

If only every year was like 2019 for the S&P 500 (SPX). For the year, the benchmark index failed to achieve a 30% gain, but most investors are rather satisfied with the…

Sometimes, a market in retreat is a good thing, warranted and even desired. I would suggest that all these descriptive terms characterize present market conditions based on several factors, but more prominently…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. We are in the midst of a full-blown, melt-up, Santa Claus rally into year-end…

Once again and with the defined Santa Claus rally in full effect, the major averages finished higher on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) led the way with a gain of…

The following is an excerpt from our December 15, 2019 Research Report: “With market breadth/internals still found with strength and now the most impactful binary event having been tranquilized, so to speak,…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson, Seth Golden and our special interview guest Michael Listman. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video/interview. This week we had the pleasure of interviewing…

This article first appeared at Wall Street Journal: By Gunjan Banerji Updated Dec. 18, 2019 4:19 pm ET Options traders are paying up for bets that would profit if the S&P 500’s…

Before we get started with today’s daily market dispatch, I wanted to remind our readers about something we discussed in the Finom Group Trading Room on Tuesday. The following chart from Tom…

What happens when the threat from the ongoing trade war abates? Naturally, the melt-up ensues. This is not to discount the the surge in the S&P 500 since October, but rather to…

The trading week that was ended in a manner that many may have not anticipated. As we read this week’s Research Report, we can’t help but to recall the setup for the…

U.S. options skew on the S&P 500 has been rising recently, and a recent close of 136.6 is actually higher than at any point during last December’s stock meltdown. A refresher on what…

Markets got off to a rough start in the pre-market trading hours on Tuesday and after a down day Monday. But then headlines surfaced that pointed to delaying the December 15th tariffs.…

U.S. equity markets are in distribution and/or de-risk mode ahead of the December 15th tariff deadline. While the financial news media outlets march out various opinions and forward-looking analysis for the markets…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. This week we discuss the upcoming risks to the coming trading week, which will…

Equity markets bounced back sharply on Wednesday and after three consecutive trading sessions found with selling pressure. The S&P 500 (SPX) managed to reclaim, hold above and close above the key 3,100…

The weekly expected move for the S&P 500 this week is $37/points. The S&P 500 has now fallen for 3 consecutive days and with media headlines blaming the decline on U.S./China negoitations…

The S&P 500 (SPX) hasn’t been down more than 0.7% on the first trading day of December since 2008. And then came December 2019, whereby the benchmark index fell by more than…

The record rally on Wall Street moves closer to Thanksgiving day as a fear of missing out (“FOMO”) may be creeping into the market. All major indices finished higher and with the…

Another record setting day on Wall Street to start a holiday shortened trading week. The Dow (DJIA) ended the day above its previous closing high of 28,036.22 set Nov. 18, the S&P…

Finom Group wants to take this opportunity to wish everyone a festive and safe Holiday season, spent with friends and family. We hope to see you back here, taking part in our…

Equities took a step back on Tuesday and after another negative trade headline surfaced. On Wednesday, Reuters reported that a phase-one agreement between the U.S. and China may not be completed until…

Coming into Wednesday’s trading session on Wall Street, equity futures are pointed lower as media outlets seek out find a geopolitical story of consequence. With the U.S. and China engaged in trade…

After another modest gain for the major indices on Monday, equity futures are pointing higher. Trade headlines found investors grappling with mixed messages coming from media outlets, for which we wouldn’t certify…

After 3 complete trading days for the week, the S&P 500 has accomplished… basically nothing in terms of points. After breaking above the record achieving 3,100-level, the index has basically retreated to…

The S&P 500 came, saw and went just beyond 3,100 before finishing the trading day just 5 points higher on Tuesday. Will the 3,100 achievement prove the blow-off-top moment for the benchmark…

It proved a bit of a rocky trading session on Monday, with the major averages rolling back some of their gains through much of the morning. But then came an afternoon market…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. In this week’s episode we discuss the the 5-week long S&P 500 rally to…

It was another uneventful day in the markets, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) completely flat on the day, the Nasdaq (NDX) falling nearly .3% and the S&P 500 (SPX) rising…

U.S. equity markets were little changed on Tuesday and after the S&P 500 hit yet another record high at 3,085 intraday. The S&P 500 has hit a new record high each November…

More record highs for the S&P 500 were set Monday and those record highs came alongside varied opinions on the market’s performance for the remainder of the calendar year. The bulls are…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. In this week’s episode we discuss the best 6 months of the year…

If someone had asked you on Tuesday, “Do you think the market will finish at the highs of the trading day”, what would you have said in response? And why are we…

Unless you were watching the tech-heavy Nasdaq (NDX) or the small cap Russell 2000 (RUT)… or Grubhub (GRUB), nothing happened in the market on Tuesday. Volume was extremely light again on what…

The breakout investors have all been waiting for has occurred with a new record high on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq (NDX). The S&P 500 new high now resides at 3,044…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. In this week’s episode we discuss October markets and nearly touching the former…

Chop, chop, chop…, no better way to describe the last 2 trading days on Wall street as the S&P 500 (SPX) finds itself with sputtering above the 3,000-level and during the peak…

Doing well, doing well, doing well, doing well… and then…It’s all fun and games until the flows stop flowing and the earnings start missing estimates. It proved quite the choppy day on…

The trading week has started more positively than the last and with small caps bridging the lagging gap between large caps, as the Russell 2000 (RUT) proved the outperformer on Monday. The…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets with Wayne Nelson and Seth Golden. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. In this week’s episode we discuss October markets. Our dialogue this week…

The S&P 500 (SPX) is only about 1.5% away from its all-time high, so everyone must be a winner right? Not exactly! If we look at the historic performance record and positioning…

Did you see that coming? It was quite the rally on Wall Street Tuesday, the first trading day after the Columbus Day holiday. With the bond market back up and running and…

One of the more “confined/restrained” market performance days I’ve seen in recent history. The S&P 500 (SPX) fell slightly and alongside its peer indices on Monday, after futures were pointing much higher.…

Were you paying attention to the headlines in the after hours trading session on Wednesday? If the answer is no, you’re probably no worse off and as multiple, conflicting trade headlines proliferated…

Additions to the Commerce Department’s blacklist, announced visa restrictions on Chinese government and Communist Party officials who are believed to be involved in abuse of Uighurs and other Muslim minority groups in…

Ahead of the Thursday resumption of U.S./China trade talks, it seems both parties are doing their best to impede progress toward some sort of deescalation in the 15-month trade feud. The U.S.…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. In this week’s episode we discuss the craziness that comes with October markets. While the economic data is supportive…

If you thought Tuesday was a somber day in the markets, Wednesday performed that much worse and with the S&P 500 falling another 1.8 percent. The benchmark index broke down and through…

Can we extrapolate any positives from a sharp decline in the S&P 500 (SPX) and peer indices on Tuesday? I ask that question given how far ranging and polarizing market participant views…

Out with September and in with October. Our recency bias might suggest that September was a rough month, but it was only in the final trading week that the S&P 500 (SPX)…

“In order to know where we’re going, you need to know where you’ve been.” This quote by Maya Angelou is no less important to investors as they look forward to another trading…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. In this week’s episode we discuss the domestic political strifes that are overflowing into the equity markets. While the…

The only sample size smaller than two is obviously one, but that’s how many times the stock market has combatted an impeachment, inquiry or otherwise. And with the headlines buzzing on the…

And then the market got itself a’going! Tuesday was a jam-packed day of headlines that began with comments out of the United Nations General Assembly. Speaking to the U.N. General Assembly in…

What drove markets on Monday? Apparently nothing, as all 3 major U.S. indices finished just about flat for the day. It was if the trading day never took place if one looks…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. Our emphasis in this week’s SOTM video concerns the latest FOMC rate cut announcement and what we might expect…

While Wednesday’s FOMC rate cut announcement stole the spotlight from other data points and prognostications, there was certainly a lot going on for investors to digest or brush off. Between the Bank…

The first trading day post the Saudi Arabia oil field bombings and speculative production slowdown pushed crude oil future (CLF) prices up roughly 15%, with equity prices moving lower Monday. Crude closed…

Welcome to this week’s State of the Markets. Please click the following link to review the SOTM video. Our emphasis in this week’s SOTM video concerns the 3-week rally in the major averages that has been characterized…

In Finom Group’s weekly Research Report, our summation was that the bull market should carry forward, absent any exogenous shocks to the economy and or market. Here is what we offered to…

It has been kind of a “funky” trading week thus far and after 2 straight weeks of strong dip buying activity. With the first 2 trading days of the week completed and…

Earlier this year, Deutsche bank released a chart, a proposal if you will. Why is it a proposal, we’ll get to that in a moment. One of the things we aim to…